Leafing Through Pages: Analysis of Sports and Other Topics


Book Review: Patriot Reign by Michael Holley

Title: Patriot Reign
Author: Michael Holley
Publisher: Paperback – HarperCollins
Release Date: Hardcover – 2004, Paperback – 2005
Pages: 237 (Start through Epilogue)
Rating: *** out of *****

Michael Holley gives the reader a great, albeit brief, look at the New England Patriots during the 2002 and 2003 NFL seasons. Holley’s writing style is a very easy, quick read for fans while being insightful and putting the focus on the important aspects of various points over the course of a season.

The best parts of the book are the access into the backstage area of the Patriots. This ranges from coaches meetings discussing certain players during the offseason through their discussion on potential draft prospects. The NFL Draft section of the book is in particular an absolute highlight and worth picking up the book for alone.

The only letdown of the book is the brevity of the actual regular season. Key games are highlighted or briefly combed over during both the 2002 Season (which would have been interesting to get more depth on considering the Patriot’s success before and since then) and the 2003 Season en route to the Super Bowl.

If you are looking for a book that gives you unprecedented access to the lockerroom and an understanding of what the coaching staff of the Patriots demanded during the 2002-2003 seasons, this is the book for you.

You can purchase it here at Amazon: Amazon Paperback Edition



New England Patriots: Team Stat Comparison From 2001-2010

Here’s a comparison of the New England Patriots from 2001 through their 2010 regular season.

2001: Won Super Bowl
QBs: Threw 482 times for 21 TD vs. 15 INT and 46 Sacks.
RBs/FBs: Antowain Smith carried 287 times for a 4.0 YPC and 12 TD.
WRs: Troy Brown had 101 catches, David Patten had 51 catches, Terry Glenn and Charles Johnson had 14 catches.
TEs: Jermaine Wiggins had 14 catches and Rod Rutledge had 5 catches.

Defensively the team had 39 Sacks (6-7 from Bobby Hamilton, Anthony Pleasant, and Willie McGinest) along with 22 INT.

2002: Missed Playoffs
QBs: Threw 605 times for 28 TD vs. 14 INT and 31 Sacks.
RBs/FBs: Antowain Smith carried 252 times for a 3.9 YPC and 6 TD.
WRs: Troy Brown had 97 catches, David Patten had 61, and Deion Branch had 43 catches.
TEs: Christian Fauria had 27 catches and Daniel Graham had 15 catches.

Defensively the team had 33 Sacks (4 players had 4.5 to 5.5) along with 18 INT.

2003: Won Super Bowl
QBs: Threw 537 times for 23 TD vs. 13 INT and 32 Sacks.
RBs/FBs: Antowain Smith had 182 carries with a 3.5 YPC and 3 TD. Kevin Faulk had 178 carries for a 3.6 YPC and 0 TD.
WRs: Deion Branch had 57 catches, Troy Brown had 40 catches, and David Givens had 34 catches.
TEs: Daniel Graham had 38 catches and Christian Fauria had 28 catches.

Defensively the team had 41 Sacks (Mike Vrabel and Richard Seymour at 9.5 and 8) along with 29 INT (Ty Law and Tyrone Poole had 6 each).

2004: Won Super Bowl
QBs: Threw 485 times for 29 TD vs. 14 INT and 26 Sacks.
RBs/FBs: Corey Dillon had 345 carries for a 4.7 YPC and 12 TD.
WRs: David Givens had 56 catches, David Patten had 44 catches, and Deion Branch had 35 catches.
TEs: Daniel Graham had 30 catches and Christian Fauria had 16 catches.

Defensively the team had 45 Sacks (Willie McGinest at 9.5, 3 others at 5.0-5.5) and 20 INT.

2005: Lost Divisional Round
QBs: Threw 564 times for 28 TD vs. 15 INT and 28 Sacks.
RBs/FBs: Corey Dillon had 209 carries for a 3.5 YPC and 12 TD
WRs: Deion Branch had 78 catches, David Givens had 59 catches, and Troy Brown had 39 catches.
TEs: Ben Watson had 29 catches and Daniel Graham had 16 catches.

Defensively the team had 33 Sacks (Willie McGinest and Roosevelt Colvin had 6 and 7 Sacks) along with 10 INT.

2006: Lost AFC Title Game
QBs: Threw 527 times for 25 TD vs. 12 INT and 29 Sacks.
RBs/FBs: Corey Dillon had 199 carries for a 4.1 YPC and 13 TD. Laurence Maroney had 175 carries for a 4.3 YPC and 6 TD.
WRs: Reche Caldwell had 61 catches, Troy Brown had 43 catches, and Doug Gabriel had 25 catches.
TEs: Ben Watson had 49 catches and Daniel Graham had 21 catches.

Defensively the team had 44 Sacks (Jarvis Green and Ty Warren had 7.5 and Roosevelt Colvin had 8.5) along with 22 INT.

2007: Lost Super Bowl
QBs: Threw 586 times for 50 TD vs. 9 INT with 21 Sacks.
RBs/FBs: Laurence Maroney had 185 carries for a 4.5 YPC and 6 TD.
WRs: Wes Welker had 112 catches, Randy Moss had 98 catches, and Donte Stallworth had 46 catches.
TEs: Ben Watson had 36 catches and Kyle Brady had 9 catches.

Defensively the team had 46 Sacks (Mike Vrabel had 12.5. Adalius Thomas and Jarvis Green had 6.5 each) along with 19 INT.

2008: Missed Playoffs
QBs: Threw 534 times for 21 TD vs. 11 INT with 48 Sacks.
RBs/FBs: Sammy Morris had 156 carries for a 4.7 YPC and 7 TD.
WRs: Wes Welker had 111 catches, Randy Moss had 69 catches, and Jabar Gaffney had 38 catches.
TEs: Ben Watson had 22 catches and David Thomas had 9 catches.

Defensively the team had 30 Sacks (Richard Seymour had 8) along with 14 INT.

2009: Lost WildCard Game
QBs: Threw 592 times for 28 TD vs. 13 INT with 18 Sacks.
RBs/FBs: Laurence Maroney had 194 carries for a 3.9 YPC and 9 TD.
WRs: Wes Welker had 123 catches, Randy Moss had 83 catches, and Julian Edelman had 37 catches.
TEs: Ben Watson had 29 catches and Chris Baker had 14 catches.

Defensively the team had 31 Sacks (Tully Banta-Cain had 10) along with 18 INT.

2010: Lost Divisional Game
QBs: Threw 507 times for 37 TD vs. 5 INT with 25 Sacks.
RBs/FBs: BenJarvus Green-Ellis carried 229 times for a 4.4 YPC and 13 TD.
WRs: Wes Welker had 86 catches, Deion Branch had 48 catches, and Brandon Tate had 24 catches.
TEs: Aaron Hernandez had 45 catches and Rob Gronkowski had 42 catches.

Defensively the team had 36 Sacks (Tully Banta-Cain had 5 and Mike Wright had 5.5) along with 25 INT (Devin McCourty had 7).

Overall Thoughts: The concept of the Patriots returning to their roots during the 2010 season wasn’t just coach speak or fan speak. Tom Brady threw the ball less, the Patriots relied on a RB to really carry the load for them in Green-Ellis, and the Patriots spread the ball around to a variety of receivers.

It seems that the next steps in returning to their roots completely are to obtain/groom a 3rd and maybe 4th receiver who can get 20-30 catches and improve the pass rush with a goal of topping 40 Sacks.


Quick 3-4 Defense Primer

Building a roster that is able to utilize a 3-4 defense is a tough thing, especially if you are a team transitioning from a 4-3 defense (such as the Buffalo Bills and Washington Redskins for the 2010 NFL Season). There is a greater reliance on size along the line of scrimmage, more emphasis on fast, athletic linebackers who have enough size to shed blockers, and the secondary has to have the ability to play effective man coverage to take away the deep pass.

One big difference is how the approach to the 3-4 defense is handled in terms of gap control. There is basically two options, one gap or two gap. With one gap, each player is individually in charge with being assigned a single gap to play through. For example, if you are a nose tackle, you may be lined up over the shoulders of the center and the guard, so you are in charge of that single gap. With a two gap system (See the New England Patriots), the nose tackle would be head up on the center and in charge of controlling the gap to the left and to the right of the center.

Defensive Ends
The Strongside DE is in charge of containment and often has to not only have enough speed to get to the outside on pitches but have enough strength to overcome potential double teams from the right tackle and tight end. Size is a necessity here due to being double teamed in the run game. The weakside defensive end also has to set containment in the running game on his side and will often need size and agility to get past the left tackle on passing plays.

– Ty Warren (New England Patriots) – 6’5 300 [Weakside DE]
– Richard Seymour (New England Patriots) – 6’6 310 [Strongside DE]
– Marcus Spears (Dallas Cowboys) – 6’4 309 [Strongside DE]
– Marcellus Wiley (Buffalo Bills) – 6’4 275 [Strongside DE] 2000 Season
– Bruce Smith (Buffalo Bills) – 6’4 262 [Strongside DE]

Nose Tackle
The biggest guys along the defensive line. They certainly need strength as they will often be double teamed throughout the game, but they also need to flash agility to force the interior center and guard to stay with them by penetrating gaps when a pass play is called.

– Casey Hampton (Pittsburgh Steelers) – 6’1 325
– Vince Wilfork (New England Patriots) – 6’2 325
– Jamal Williams (San Diego Chargers/Denver Broncos) – 6’3 348
– Ted Washington (San Francisco 49ers/Buffalo Bills/New England Patriots) – 6’5 365

Inside Linebackers
The toughest job is this role, as these two linebackers need to effectively have the speed and agility to hit the gaps when blitzing, drop back in coverage over the middle of the field, and need strength to shed blockers when coming up to stop the inside running game.

– James Farrior (Pittsburgh Steelers) – 6’2 243
– Jerod Mayo (New England Patriots) – 6’1 242
– Tedy Bruschi (New England Patriots) – 6’1 247
– Harry Carson (New York Giants) – 6’2 237
– Randy Gradishar (Denver Broncos) – 6’3 233
– Sam Mills (New Orleans Saints) – 5’9 229
– Vaughan Johnson (New Orleans Saints) – 6’3 235

Outside Linebackers
The strongside linebacker is the man often in charge of helping cover the tight end on passing plays and is usually the largest linebacker in order to stop the outside run game. He will often have to deal with the tight end or right guard on pulling plays as well, so his strength and size are important. The weakside linebacker needs enough speed and size to play the run but more importantly, they are usually the team’s best blitzer at linebacker. They need the speed to get around the edge and the agility and strength to beat the running back if their blitz gets picked up.

– LaMarr Woodley (Pittsburgh Steelers) – 6’2 265 [Strongside LB]
– Willie McGinest (New England Patriots) – 6’5 270 [Strongside LB]
– Lawrence Taylor (New York Giants) – 6’3 237 [Strongside LB]
– Greg Lloyd (Pittsburgh Steelers) – 6’2 228 [Strongside LB]
– Pat Swilling (New Orleans Saints) – 6’3 245 [Strongside LB]

– Kevin Greene (Los Angeles Rams/Pittsburgh Steelers/Carolina Panthers) – 6’3 247 [Weakside LB]
– Carl Banks (New York Giants) – 6’4 235 [Weakside LB]
– Cornelius Bennett (Buffalo Bills) – 6’2 237 [Weakside LB]
– DeMarcus Ware (Dallas Cowboys) – 6’4 262 [Weakside LB]
– James Harrison (Pittsburgh Steelers) – 6’0 242 [Weakside LB]
– Rickey Jackson (New Orleans Saints) – 6’2 243 [Weakside LB]
– Mike Vrabel (New England Patriots/Kansas City Chiefs) – 6’4 261 [Weakside LB]
– Elvis Dumervil (Denver Broncos) – 5’11 248 [Weakside LB]

The cornerbacks need the ability to play man coverage both short and down the field. They need to have the size and aggressiveness to be willing to tackle the receiver on short passes and the running back on sweeps and pitches to the outside. The free safeties need to have the speed to play deep down the middle of the field, while being aggressive enough to help on outside runs. The strong safeties need to have the size to deliver a hit on receivers in the middle of the field, the speed to help cover deep, and the aggressiveness to come up and stop the run on plays up the middle.

– Ryan Clark (Pittsburgh Steelers) – 5’11 205 [Free Safety]
– Mark Kelso (Buffalo Bills) – 5’11 181 [Free Safety]

– Troy Polamalu (Pittsburgh Steelers) – 5’10 207 [Strong Safety]
– Brian Dawkins (Denver Broncos) – 6’0 210 [Strong Safety]
– Rodney Harrison (New England Patriots) – 6’1 220 [Strong Safety]
– Carnell Lake (Pittsburgh Steelers) – 6’1 210 [Strong Safety]

– Rod Woodson (Pittsburgh Steelers) – 5’11 205 [Cornerback]
– Champ Bailey (Denver Broncos) – 6’0 192 [Cornerback]
– Ty Law (New England Patriots/Denver Broncos) – 5’11 200 [Cornerback]
– Asante Samuel (New England Patriots) – 5’10 185 [Cornerback]
– Terence Newman (Dallas Cowboys) – 5’11 191 [Cornerback]
– Otis Smith (New York Jets/New England Patriots) – 5’11 198 [Cornerback]
– Eric Davis (San Francisco 49ers/Carolina Panthers) – 5’11 185 [Cornerback]


NFL Draft and the Rookie RB Impact

Filed under: Pro Football — David Hunter @ 11:06 AM
Tags: , ,

Everybody watches the NFL Draft for that primetime running back who comes in with a staggering amount of highlights and will obviously make an immediate impact for his new team. All the success he had in college will instantly translate to the NFL and that RB will be able to duplicate his 6.3 yard per carry or score 9 touchdowns receiving like he did as a Senior (or Junior). How true is that, though and are the expectations unfair?

2005 NFL Draft
1.02 Ronnie Brown: Combined for 1,139 yards on 239 touches and scored 5 TD total.
1.04 Cedric Benson: Combined for 275 yards on 68 touches and scored 0 TD total.
1.05 Cadillac Williams: Combined for 1,259 yards on 310 touches and scored 6 TD total.
2.44 J.J. Arrington: Combined for 509 yards on 137 touches and scored 2 TD total.
2.54 Eric Shelton: Combined for 0 yards on 0 touches and scored 0 TD total.

2006 NFL Draft
1.02 Reggie Bush: Combined for 1,307 yards on 243 touches and scored 8 TD total.
1.21 Laurence Maroney: Combined for 939 yards on 197 touches and scored 7 TD total.
1.27 DeAngelo Williams: Combined for 814 yards on 154 touches and scored 2 TD total.
1.30 Joseph Addai: Combined for 1,406 yards on 266 touches and scored 8 TD total.
2.45 LenDale White: Combined for 304 yards on 75 touches and scored 0 TD total.
2.60 Maurice Jones-Drew: Combined for 1,377 yards on 212 touches and scored 15 TD total.

2007 NFL Draft
1.07 Adrian Peterson: Combined for 1,609 yards on 257 touches and scored 13 TD total.
1.12 Marshawn Lynch: Combined for 1,299 yards on 298 touches and scored 7 TD total.
2.49 Kenny Irons: Combined for 0 yards on 0 touches and scored 0 TD total.
2.50 Chris Henry: Combined for 172 yards on 37 touches and scored 2 TD total.
2.52 Brian Leonard: Combined for 486 yards on 116 touches and scored 0 TD total.
2.63 Brandon Jackson: Combined for 397 yards on 91 touches and scored 1 TD total.

2008 NFL Draft
1.04 Darren McFadden: Combined for 784 yards on 142 touches and scored 4 TD total.
1.13 Jonathan Stewart: Combined for 883 yards on 192 touches and scored 10 TD total.
1.22 Felix Jones: Combined for 276 yards on 32 touches and scored 3 TD total.
1.23 Rashard Mendenhall: Combined for 75 yards on 21 touches and scored 0 TD total.
1.24 Chris Johnson: Combined for 1,688 yards on 294 touches and scored 10 TD total.
2.44 Matt Forte: Combined for 1,715 yards on 379 touches and scored 12 TD total.
2.55 Ray Rice: Combined for 727 yards on 140 touches and scored 0 TD total.

2009 NFL Draft
1.12 Knowshon Moreno: Combined for 1,160 yards on 275 touches and scored 9 TD total.
1.27 Donald Brown: Combined for 450 yards on 89 touches and scored 3 TD total.
1.31 Chris Wells: Combined for 936 yards on 188 touches and scored 7 TD total.
2.53 LeSean McCoy: Combined for 945 yards on 195 touches and scored 4 TD total.

It becomes obvious that a true judgement of the impact of a rookie RB should not be focused on rushing but rather the combined rushing and receiving. Also most rookie RBs rarely touch the ball enough to “make” an impact running the ball alone (e.g. running for 1,000 yards). For the most part, rookie RBs can give solid production but scoring double digit touchdowns is more of a rarity.

Out of 28 RBs selected in the 1st/2nd Round in the past 5 drafts: Only 5 scored more than 10 touchdowns rushing and receiving. Only 10 broke 1,000 yards when combining rushing and receiving yards. 7 of those players were drafted in the 1st round.


Winning and the Importance of Offensive Line in the NFL Draft

Everybody knows the recent struggles of the Oakland Raiders from the 2003 season through the 2009 season but let’s examine their drafts and see if there are any trends. Oakland has gone 29-83 (25.9%) over that stretch.

Out of those 55 picks the offensive line made up only 14% of those drafts.

Let’s compare them to another team that has been struggling year in and year out. The Detroit Lions have gone 28-84 (25.0%) during the stretch from 2003 – 2009 including an 0-16 season in 2008.

Detroit finished those drafts with a total of 57 picks and like the Oakland Raiders, seemed to avoid offensive linemen as if they were the plague especially in the early and mid rounds.

Offensive Linemen Drafted: 7 for about 12% of their picks in total.

The San Francisco 49ers haven’t been much better from 2003-2009 with a record of 40-72 (35.7%) but let’s take a look at their drafts and see if they were running into the same problems as the Raiders and Lions.

So the 49ers had 59 picks and only spent 7 picks on offensive linemen for a percent of about 12% of their 7 drafts. While they did draft them high, they also didn’t draft much in the way of depth at all.

Given those three teams and their relative struggles from 2003-2009, let’s take a look at three very successful teams. We’ll start off with the New England Patriots who are posterboys for stocking up on offensive linemen like they’re going out of style. Note that New England has gone 87-25 (77.7%) including a 16-0 season.

The Patriots finished with 63 total picks. Of those picks, they selected an offensive lineman 12 times for a percent of 19%. The Patriots aren’t afraid to select 2 or more linemen in a draft despite having what many would deem considerable depth already.

The Indianapolis Colts have also seen great success from 2003-2009 with a record of 89-23 (79.5%) so let’s examine their drafts. The Colts would have 60 draft picks and select 12 offensive linemen for a percentage of 20%. That also included drafting 3 centers in the 2008 Draft and at least 1 offensive lineman taken in every draft.

Worth noting is the Philadelphia Eagles from 2000-2004 who went 59-21 (73.8%) and were extremely successful. They had 37 draft selections over that period of time and selected 8 offensive linemen for a percentage of 21.6%. Their 2004 draft they selected an OT, two OG, and an OC with their last pick.

Winning organizations of the past including the Dallas Cowboys from 1991-1995 (12 offensive linemen), the San Francisco 49ers from 1987-1992 (9 offensive linemen), and the New York Giants from 1985-1990 (14 offensive linemen) all drafted well known stars but also were smart enough to know that you build your teams up front and offensively that starts with the big behemoths blocking.

So when you’re watching the 2010 NFL Draft, make a small note of those organizations that target 2 or 3 offensive linemen. Maybe jot a note down if they did this in the 2009 NFL Draft too and cross your fingers that team is the one you’re a fan of.

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