Leafing Through Pages: Analysis of Sports and Other Topics

08/09/2009

Examining Whether Quarterback Ratings Increase or Decrease In Their 2nd Year

A case is often made about rookie quarterbacks settling down after their first season and stepping up in their second season. Media pundits often talk about sophomore slumps but the data below seems to prove that for a QB, much more often than not, they take a big leap forward. Such news bolds well for QBs like JaMarcus Russell, Matt Cassel, Aaron Rodgers, Matt Ryan, and Joe Flacco who all started their first full seasons last year. Note that the Year 1/Year 2 reflect full starting seasons (min. 10 games started) for a more complete, accurate picture (see Kyle Orton as one example of a stretch in between Y1 and Y2).

Troy Aikman
– Year 1 QB Rating: 55.7
– Year 2 QB Rating: 66.6 (+10.90)

Ken Anderson
– Year 1 QB Rating: 74.0
– Year 2 QB Rating: 81.2 (+7.2)

Tony Banks
– Year 1 QB Rating: 71.0
– Year 2 QB Rating: 71.5 (+0.50)

Charlie Batch
– Year 1 QB Rating: 83.5
– Year 2 QB Rating: 84.1 (+0.6)

Drew Bledsoe
– Year 1 QB Rating: 65.0
– Year 2 QB Rating: 73.6 (+8.6)

Kyle Boller
– Year 1 QB Rating: 62.4
– Year 2 QB Rating: 70.9 (+8.5)

Terry Bradshaw
– Year 1 QB Rating: 30.4
– Year 2 QB Rating: 59.7 (+29.3)

Tom Brady
– Year 1 QB Rating: 86.5
– Year 2 QB Rating: 85.7 (-0.8)

Drew Brees
– Year 1 QB Rating: 76.9
– Year 2 QB Rating: 67.5 (-9.4)

Mark Brunell
– Year 1 QB Rating: 82.6
– Year 2 QB Rating: 84.0 (+1.4)

Marc Bulger
– Year 1 QB Rating: 81.4
– Year 2 QB Rating: 93.7 (+12.3)

Jason Campbell
– Year 1 QB Rating: 77.6
– Year 2 QB Rating: 84.3 (+6.7)

David Carr
– Year 1 QB Rating: 62.8
– Year 2 QB Rating: 69.5 (+6.7)

Kerry Collins
– Year 1 QB Rating: 61.9
– Year 2 QB Rating: 79.4 (+17.5)

Tim Couch
– Year 1 QB Rating: 73.2
– Year 2 QB Rating: 77.3 (+4.1)

Daunte Culpepper
– Year 1 QB Rating: 98.0
– Year 2 QB Rating: 83.3 (-14.7)

Jay Cutler
– Year 1 QB Rating: 88.5
– Year 2 QB Rating: 88.1 (-0.4)

Jake Delhomme
– Year 1 QB Rating: 80.6
– Year 2 QB Rating: 87.3 (+6.7)

Trent Edwards
– Year 1 QB Rating: 70.4
– Year 2 QB Rating: 85.4 (+15.0)

John Elway
– Year 1 QB Rating: 54.9
– Year 2 QB Rating: 76.8 (+21.9)

Jeff Garcia
– Year 1 QB Rating: 77.9
– Year 2 QB Rating: 97.6 (+19.7)

David Garrard
– Year 1 QB Rating: 80.5
– Year 2 QB Rating: 102.2 (+21.7)

Otto Graham
– Year 1 QB Rating: 64.7
– Year 2 QB Rating: 79.2 (+14.5)

Bob Griese
– Year 1 QB Rating: 61.6
– Year 2 QB Rating: 75.7 (+14.1)

Brian Griese
– Year 1 QB Rating: 75.6
– Year 2 QB Rating: 102.9 (+27.3)

Joey Harrington
– Year 1 QB Rating: 59.9
– Year 2 QB Rating: 63.9 (+4.0)

Matt Hasselbeck
– Year 1 QB Rating: 87.8
– Year 2 QB Rating: 88.8 (+1.0)

Jim Kelly
– Year 1 QB Rating: 83.3
– Year 2 QB Rating: 83.8 (+0.5)

Jon Kitna
– Year 1 QB Rating: 77.7
– Year 2 QB Rating: 75.6 (-2.1)

Byron Leftwich
– Year 1 QB Rating: 73.0
– Year 2 QB Rating: 82.2 (+9.2)

Eli Manning
– Year 1 QB Rating: 75.9
– Year 2 QB Rating: 77.0 (+1.1)

Peyton Manning
– Year 1 QB Rating: 71.2
– Year 2 QB Rating: 90.7 (+19.5)

Dan Marino
– Year 1 QB Rating: 96.0
– Year 2 QB Rating: 108.9 (+12.9)

Donovan McNabb
– Year 1 QB Rating: 77.8
– Year 2 QB Rating: 84.3 (+6.5)

Steve McNair
– Year 1 QB Rating: 70.4
– Year 2 QB Rating: 80.1 (+9.7)

Warren Moon
– Year 1 QB Rating: 76.9
– Year 2 QB Rating: 68.5 (-8.4)

Joe Montana
– Year 1 QB Rating: 87.8
– Year 2 QB Rating: 88.4 (+0.6)

Kyle Orton
– Year 1 QB Rating: 59.7
– Year 2 QB Rating: 79.6 (+19.9)

Carson Palmer
– Year 1 QB Rating: 77.3
– Year 2 QB Rating: 101.1 (+23.8)

Chad Pennington
– Year 1 QB Rating: 104.2
– Year 2 QB Rating: 91.0 (-13.2)

Jake Plummer
– Year 1 QB Rating: 73.1
– Year 2 QB Rating: 75.0 (+1.9)

Philip Rivers
– Year 1 QB Rating: 92.0
– Year 2 QB Rating: 82.4 (-9.6)

Ben Roethlisberger
– Year 1 QB Rating: 98.1
– Year 2 QB Rating: 98.6 (+0.5)

Tony Romo
– Year 1 QB Rating: 95.1
– Year 2 QB Rating: 97.4 (+2.3)

Matt Schaub
– Year 1 QB Rating: 87.2
– Year 2 QB Rating: 92.7 (+5.5)

Phil Simms
– Year 1 QB Rating: 66.0
– Year 2 QB Rating: 58.9 (-7.1)

Roger Staubach
– Year 1 QB Rating: 104.8
– Year 2 QB Rating: 94.6 (-10.2)

Fran Tarkenton
– Year 1 QB Rating: 74.7
– Year 2 QB Rating: 66.9 (-7.8)

Vinny Testaverde
– Year 1 QB Rating: 68.9
– Year 2 QB Rating: 75.6 (+6.7)

Johnny Unitas
– Year 1 QB Rating: 74.0
– Year 2 QB Rating: 88.0 (+14.0)

Michael Vick
– Year 1 QB Rating: 81.6
– Year 2 QB Rating: 78.1 (-3.5)

Kurt Warner
– Year 1 QB Rating: 109.2
– Year 2 QB Rating: 98.3 (-10.9)

Vince Young
– Year 1 QB Rating: 66.7
– Year 2 QB Rating: 71.1 (+4.4)

Advertisements

Leave a Comment »

No comments yet.

RSS feed for comments on this post.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Blog at WordPress.com.

%d bloggers like this: